Monetary policy in the news: communication pass-through and inflation expectations

Fiorella De Fiore, Alexis Maurin, Andrej Mijakovic and Damiano Sandri

No 1231, BIS Working Papers from Bank for International Settlements

Abstract: We analyse the media's role in channelling information about the Fed's monetary policy stance to the public. Using LLMs, we find a tight correspondence between FOMC communication and media coverage, although with significant variation over time. The communication pass-through weakened during the ZLB period and improved with the introduction of press conferences, which now exert strong influence on the media. Media coverage effects households' inflation expectations, particularly when inflation is high and volatile, while we do not detect a direct impact of FOMC communication. This underscores the media's crucial function in channelling central banks' communication to the public.

Keywords: central bank communication; media coverage; large language models; households' expectations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E50 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-12
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-big, nep-cba and nep-mon
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