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Do Firm-Level Shocks Generate Aggregate Fluctuations? A Cross-Country Analysis

Lin Shuheng () and Pérez Francisca ()
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Lin Shuheng: The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Kowloon, Hong Kong
Pérez Francisca: Business School, 549476 Adolfo Ibanez University , Santiago, Chile

The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2025, vol. 25, issue 1, 45-79

Abstract: This paper tests the granular hypothesis introduced by Gabaix (2011. “The Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations.” Econometrica 79 (3): 733–72) in the US, Germany, Canada, France, Japan, and the UK. We find that firm-level idiosyncratic shocks significantly impact aggregate fluctuations in only three of the six countries analyzed. Compared to the US, Japan and Germany, the UK, France, and Canada show greater granularity, but also a negligible firm-level contribution to aggregate volatility. Additional results look at the role of the transportation sector as a potential driver of granular effects in the US, Germany and Japan.

Keywords: idiosyncratic shocks; aggregate fluctuations; firm size distribution; granular hypothesis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D21 E32 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0017

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