Clean Hydrogen Pathways: Expert Projections from Australia and Implications for the World

Zarah Thiel, Reza Fazeli, Frank Jotzo and Andreas Löschel

No 12161, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo

Abstract: Hydrogen produced from renewable energy sources or with carbon capture and storage is an important pillar for reducing global emissions. Using structured interviews, we collect and analyze expectations of 47 industry, science, and government experts on hydrogen pathways and policy needs in Australia. A detailed picture emerges of expectations for how hydrogen will be produced, traded, or used domestically, including projections of future production cost and quantities. Experts also shared views on key obstacles and factors that could support hydrogen deployment. While a large majority anticipates a transition to renewable hydrogen by 2050, there are some notable divergences in expectations, including among different stakeholder groups and levels of experience. For instance, carbon capture and storage pathways remain contested. While the experts were largely optimistic that technical and environmental barriers could be overcome, the main policy gaps identified relate to regulatory and market uncertainties.

Keywords: hydrogen; expert survey; renewable energy; policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H00 O38 Q42 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
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