Deep Value

Lasse Pedersen, Clifford S. Asness, John M. Liew and Ashwin K Thapar

No 12685, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: We define “deep value†as episodes where the valuation spread between cheap and expensive securities is wide relative to its history. Examining deep value across global individual equities, equity index futures, currencies, and global bonds provides new evidence on competing theories for the value premium. Following these episodes, the value strategy has (1) high average returns; (2) low market betas, but high betas to a global value factor; (3) deteriorating fundamentals; (4) negative news sentiment; (5) selling pressure; (6) increased limits to arbitrage; and (7) increased arbitrage activity. Lastly, we find that deep value episodes tend to cluster and a deep value trading strategy generates excess returns not explained by traditional risk factors.

Keywords: Value investing; Market efficiency; Bubbles; Behavioral finance; Over-reaction; Demand pressure; Arbitrage; Noise (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G02 G11 G12 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018-02
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