Measuring credit procyclicality: a new database

Anne-Laure Delatte, Vincent Bouvatier and Pierre-Nicolas Rehault

No 16519, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: Today, the data available to estimate the credit cycle involve a trade-off between country coverage and frequency. In addition, there are pending methodological issues to estimate credit trend and cyclical components. To address these limits, we build a new database on credit metrics that relaxes the trade-off and includes credit procyclicality measures along three alternative methods- HP filter, the modified HP filter and basic SSA. The credit gaps in our database are statistically consistent with bank credit gaps estimated with BIS data and they have the advantage of being available for 163 countries instead of 43 countries. Armed with this new and expanded data, we revisit classic empirical questions in the literature.

Keywords: Credit cycle; Credit gap; Cross-countries comparison; Credit booms; Global financial cycle; Hodrick-prescott; Singular spectrum analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E51 F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-09
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Journal Article: Measuring credit procyclicality: A new database (2022)
Working Paper: Measuring credit procyclicality: A new database (2022)
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