When Do FOMC Voting Rights Affect Monetary Policy?

Vyacheslav Fos and Nancy Xu

No 19269, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: Using 472 FOMC meetings (1969–2019) and the exogenous rotation of voting rights among Reserve Bank presidents, we identify meetings where local economic conditions in voting districts significantly affect the Federal funds target rate (FFR), while those in non-voting districts show no effect. This voting-group effect persists after controlling for national conditions and Greenbook forecasts, implying that actual FFR decisions plausibly deviated from what average information and expectations would have suggested. Distortions are sizable, persistent, and priced into futures and Treasury markets prior to FOMC meetings. We demonstrate these findings using both components of the Fed’s dual mandate: inflation and unemployment rates.

Keywords: Monetary; policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D7 E5 E58 G1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-07
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://cepr.org/publications/DP19269 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:19269

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
https://cepr.org/publications/DP19269

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CEPR ().