Successful Entrepreneurs Come From the Top of the Earned Income Distribution

Niklas Garnadt, Füner, Lena, Konrad Stahl and Tåg, Joacim

No 20536, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: Identifying high growth startups ex-ante and fostering their success is an important policy challenge. Using Swedish registry data, we show that previous labor market earnings of entrepreneurs is a simple observable that is strongly correlated with entrepreneurship success. Entrepreneurs from the top decile of income from dependent employment are four times more likely to succeed than those from the lowest decile. Their firms are larger and more productive from the outset, and this effect intensifies over time. This correlation is virtually unaffected by variations in the entrepreneurs’ personal traits. It does also not vary across the business cycle.

JEL-codes: J24 L26 M13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-08
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