EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Weak Bundle, Strong Bundle: How AI Redraws Job Boundaries

Luis Garicano, Jin Li and Yanhui Wu

No 21453, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: This paper studies how the effect of AI on an occupation depends not just on which tasks AI can perform but also on how costly it is to unbundle those tasks from the job. Much of the discussion of AI and labor markets starts from task exposure: if AI can perform more tasks in an occupation, that occupation should lose employment or earnings. This is incomplete because labor markets price jobs, not tasks. Jobs bundle tasks together, and the effect of AI depends on how costly it is to break the bundle. We build a two-task model in which AI can either assist one task inside a bundled job or supply that task autonomously while a human supplies the residual task. We show that, in weak-bundle occupations, AI automates some tasks and narrows the boundary of the job, activating the standard task-substitution channel once product demand is sufficiently inelastic. In strong-bundle occupations where tasks are not independently reallocable, AI improves performance inside the job, but does not remove the human from the bundle. Thus, bundling provides a force that protects jobs and workers' share of downstream revenue.

JEL-codes: D20 J23 J24 J31 L23 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-05
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://cepr.org/publications/DP21453 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:21453

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
https://cepr.org/publications/DP21453

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by CEPR ().

 
Page updated 2026-05-29
Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:21453