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Last Bank Standing: What Do I Gain if You Fail?

Enrico Perotti and Javier Suarez

No 2933, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Banks are highly leveraged institutions, potentially attracted to speculative lending even without deposit insurance. A counterbalancing incentive to lend prudently is the risk of loss of charter value, which depends on future rents. We show in a dynamic model that current concentration does not reduce speculative lending, and may in fact increase it. In contrast, a policy of temporary increases in market concentration after a bank failure, by promoting a takeover of failed banks by a solvent institution, is very effective. By making speculative lending decisions strategic substitutes, it grants bankers an incentive to remain solvent. Subsequent entry policy fine-tunes the trade-off between the social costs of reduced competition and the gain in stability.

Keywords: Banking crises; Bank mergers; Charter value; Market structure dynamics; Prudential regulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G21 G28 L10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2001-08
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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