Saving, Dependency and Development

Allen C. Kelley and Robert M. Schmidt

No 95-01, Working Papers from Duke University, Department of Economics

Abstract: It appears that the widely-observed finding in the literature showing little or no relationship between population growth (and dependency) and saving requires modification based on panel and cross-section estimation of aggregate country data. First, while it is consistent with an update of the hybrid (Keynesian, life-cycle) Leff-type model for the 1960s and 1970s, this is not true of the 1980s, when there is a "jump" in the importance of demography. Second, in a more clearly interpretable life-cycle framework (a la Mason), the role of demography increases smoothly and systematically over the 30 years, although the form which it takes (life-cycle versus lifetime level) also varies systematically over time. Overall, however, demographic factors accounted for a major portion of changes in saving across countries and over time.

JEL-codes: J1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1995
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published in JOURNAL OF POPULATION ECONOMICS, Vol. 9, 1996, pages 365-38

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