Seasonal climate forecasts for medium-term electricity demand forecasting

Matteo De Felice, Andrea Alessandri and Franco Catalano

Applied Energy, 2015, vol. 137, issue C, 435-444

Abstract: Air temperature is an effective predictor for electricity demand, especially during hot periods where the need of electric air conditioning can be high. This paper presents for the first time an assessment of the use of seasonal climate forecasts of temperature for medium-term electricity demand prediction. The retrospective seasonal climate forecasts provided by ECWMF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) are used to forecast the June–July Italian electricity demand for the period 1990–2007.

Keywords: Seasonal climate forecasts; Medium-term load forecast; Electricity demand; Probabilistic forecast (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (35)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:appene:v:137:y:2015:i:c:p:435-444

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DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.10.030

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