Optimal control and stability analysis of an epidemic model with population dispersal

Soovoojeet Jana, Palash Haldar and T.K. Kar

Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2016, vol. 83, issue C, 67-81

Abstract: In the present paper we consider an SEIR type epidemic model with transport related infection between two cities. It is observed that transportation among regions has a strong impact on the dynamic evolution of a disease which can be eradicated in the absence of transportation. Transportation can lead to the incorporation of a positive risk probability. The epidemiological threshold, commonly known as the basic reproduction number, is derived and it is observed that when the basic reproduction number is less than unity the disease dies out, where as if it exceeds unity the disease may persist in the system. A thorough dynamical behavior of the constructed model is studied. We formulate and solve an optimal control problem using vaccination as a control tool. Extensive numerical simulations are carried out based on our analytical results. Finally we try to relate our work with a real world problem.

Keywords: Infectious disease; Transport related infection; Basic reproduction number; Vaccination; Optimal control (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:83:y:2016:i:c:p:67-81

DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2015.11.018

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