Monetary policy and credit flows: A tale of two effective lower bounds
Timothy Bianco and
Ana María Herrera
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2025, vol. 175, issue C
Abstract:
This paper evaluates the quantitative effects of monetary policy on credit flows. Using Compustat data and a factor-augmented vector autoregression where monetary policy shocks are identified via an external instrument, we show that monetary policy promotes long-term credit creation while delaying or preventing long-term credit destruction. In parallel, it reduces short-term credit creation and destruction, effectively reallocating credit toward longer maturities. Focusing on two effective lower bound periods, we show that monetary policy prompted a reshuffling of credit toward financially constrained firms, notably small, young, and high-default-probability firms. Our findings underscore the effectiveness of monetary policy in steering credit toward financially constrained firms and stimulating future economic activity near the effective lower bound.
Keywords: Monetary policy; Credit reallocation; Business cycles; External instruments (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 E51 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:175:y:2025:i:c:s0165188925000508
DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105084
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