Modelling past and future impacts of droughts on tree mortality and carbon storage in Norway spruce stands in Germany

Tim Anders, Jessica Hetzer, Nikolai Knapp, Matthew Forrest, Liam Langan, Merja Helena Tölle, Nicole Wellbrock and Thomas Hickler

Ecological Modelling, 2025, vol. 501, issue C

Abstract: Between 2018 and 2020, Central Europe experienced severe droughts. Leading to unprecedented increase in Norway spruce (Picea abies) tree mortality, which has not been reproduced in process-based forest or dynamic vegetation models (DVMs). In this study, we developed logistic regression models for drought-related Norway spruce mortality using climate and weather anomalies and mortality data from the forest monitoring plot network of the German crown condition survey. We integrated these models into the DVM LPJ-GUESS.

Keywords: Central Europe; Climate change; Drought; Dynamic vegetation models; Picea abies; Tree mortality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:501:y:2025:i:c:s0304380024003752

DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110987

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