A measure of multivariate kurtosis for the identification of the dynamics of a N-dimensional market

Tanya Araújo, João Dias, Samuel Eleutério and Francisco Louçã ()

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2013, vol. 392, issue 17, 3708-3714

Abstract: This paper investigates the common intuition suggesting that during crises the shape of the financial market clearly differentiates from that of random walk processes. In this sense, it challenges the traditional analysis of the nature of financial markets implicit in the most popular models. For this, a geometric approach is proposed in order to define the patterns of change of the market and a measure of multivariate kurtosis is used in order to test deviations from multinormality. The statistical difficulties of this approach are discussed and a new solution is proposed to the consideration of a large space of variables in an accurate measurement of the dynamics of the market. The emergence of crises can be measured in this framework, using all the available information about the returns of the stocks under consideration and not only a single index representing the market.

Keywords: Multivariate kurtosis; Market crises; Stochastic geometry; Efficient market hypothesis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:392:y:2013:i:17:p:3708-3714

DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2013.04.019

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