Trends in aviation: rebound effect and the struggle composites x aluminum

Tessaleno Devezas

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2020, vol. 160, issue C

Abstract: This piece presents in five acts the historical unfolding of two deeply interwoven players of the 20th century, aviation and aluminum, whose explosive worldwide growth evidences signs of the ‘backfire’ phenomenon fulfilling the basic logic of the Jevons’ paradox, and has designed the contours of globalization as we know it today. At the end of the piece it is introduced a third actor, composite materials, which disturbed the hitherto tight marriage between the two main actors. Closing the curtain, some speculations about probable future scenarios are presented.

Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:160:y:2020:i:c:s0040162520310672

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120241

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