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A supermultiplier demand-led growth accounting analysis applied to the Spanish economy (1998–2019)

Héctor Labat-Moles and Ricardo Summa
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Héctor Labat-Moles: N/A
Ricardo Summa: N/A

European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, 2024, vol. 21, issue 1, 42-72

Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the demand-led determinants of Spanish economic growth from 1998–2019. We apply the supermultiplier demand-led growth accounting methodology by Freitas/Dweck (2013) with two modifications: First, we incorporate consumption out of public transfers, following Haluska et al. (2021) and Haluska (2023). Second, we incorporate consumption out of public wages as a source of autonomous demand, theoretically suggested by Serrano/Pimentel (2019). Our demand-led growth decomposition highlights: (i) public demand and exports as important stable growth drivers, and a decreasing supermultiplier that reduces growth rates; (ii) the indirect effect of a real estate boom in the economic expansion of 1998–2008 caused by increasing public revenues and opening space to the expansion of public demand; and (iii) the incapacity of exports to lead the recovery alone, as the latter started only with the resumption of the public and private demand.

Keywords: supermultiplier; demand-led growth accounting; Spanish economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E11 E12 O47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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