Economic Performance and Political Outcomes: An Analysis of The 1995 Turkish Parliamentary Election Results

Ali Akarca (akarca@uic.edu) and Aysıt Tansel (atansel@metu.edu.tr)

No 321, Working Papers from Economic Research Forum

Abstract: 1995 Turkish parliamentary election was held almost under the conditions of a controlled experiment. The unique cross-section data pertaining to this election and the economic and political conditions surrounding it were utilized to study the relationship between the government=s economic performance and the vote shares of political parties. Turkish voters are found to be myopic, not looking back beyond the election year in assessing the government=s economic performance. A good performance is found to benefit the primary incumbent party at the expense of extremist opposition parties and a bad performance is found to benefit extremist opposition parties at the expense of the primary party in power. The junior party in a coalition government and the centrist opposition parties appear to be unaffected by the economic conditions. Evidence found is consistent with a strategic voting by the electorate, to diffuse power and/or to try parties and leaders that were not tried before or last tried a long time ago. These conclusions are essentially in conformity with the literature on other countries.

Pages: 16 pages
Date: 2003-17-07, Revised 2003
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published by The Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Downloads: (external link)
http://erf.org.eg/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/0321.pdf (application/pdf)
Our link check indicates that this URL is bad, the error code is: 404 Not Found (http://erf.org.eg/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/0321.pdf [301 Moved Permanently]--> https://erf.org.eg/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/0321.pdf)
http://bit.ly/2p5vwPa (text/html)

Related works:
Working Paper: Economic Performance and Political Outcomes: An Analysis of the 1995 Turkish Parliamentary Election Results (2004)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:erg:wpaper:0321

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working Papers from Economic Research Forum Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Namees Nabeel (nnabil@erf.org.eg).