Is inflation still slowing? Early 2025 data pivotal to outlook

Tyler Atkinson and Ronald Mau

Dallas Fed Economics from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Abstract: January inflation data were stronger in 2023 and 2024 than forecasters expected, even after more encouraging results had been reported for the ends of 2022 and 2023. Rather than reflecting seasonal adjustment difficulties, this pattern may be caused by a large share of firms changing prices at the start of a new year.

Keywords: forecasting; inflation; monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-02-11
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