Considerable period of time: the case of signaling future policy

Charles Carlstrom and Timothy Fuerst

Economic Commentary, 2005, issue Nov

Abstract: There has been a remarkable increase in the FOMC?s communication over the last decade. Perhaps the most dramatic change was the inclusion of language indicating the possible direction of future policy. One example is the now famous ?considerable-period? language that was inserted in August 2003. This forward-looking language was remarkable in that it seemingly signaled the Committee?s intention to keep rates low for an extended period. This Commentary analyzes the reasons behind the ?considerable-period-of-time? language, and it argues that such language was important to stem further declines in inflation since the funds rate was already close to its lower bound of zero.

Keywords: Monetary policy - United States; Federal funds rate; Federal Open Market Committee (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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