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Economic Commentary

1982 - 2023

From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2023, issue 04, vol 2023

US Labor Market after COVID-19: An Interim Report pp. 7 Downloads
Martin DeLuca and Roberto Pinheiro

2023, issue 03, vol 2023

Racial Differences in Returns on Business Ownership pp. 6 Downloads
Jacob Hager and Barış Kaymak

2023, issue 02, vol 2023

Job Loss Consequences and the Pandemic Recession pp. 9 Downloads
Angela Guo, Pawel Krolikowski and Meifeng Yang

2023, issue 01, vol 2023

The Discrepancy Between Expenditure- and Income-Side Estimates of US Output pp. 7 Downloads
Kurt Lunsford

2022, issue 17, vol 2022

An Update on Wealth Mobility pp. 6 Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Ross Cohen-Kristiansen

2022, issue 16, vol 2022

Student debt incidence: recent data and conceptual issues Downloads
Jordan Manes, Emily Moschini and Tom Phelan

2022, issue 15, vol 2022

The Great Resignation and the Paycheck Protection Program pp. 5 Downloads
Aysegul Sahin and Murat Tasci

2022, issue 14, vol 2022

A New Measure of Consumers’ (In)Attention to Inflation pp. 7 Downloads
Hana Braitsch and James Mitchell

2022, issue 13, vol 2022

How Should Monetary Policy Respond to a Contraction in Labor Supply? pp. 5 Downloads
Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe

2022, issue 12, vol 2022

Making Sense of Eviction Trends during the Pandemic pp. 8 Downloads
Hal Martin

2022, issue 11, vol 2022

Mortgage Borrowers’ Use of COVID-19 Forbearance Programs pp. 7 Downloads
Lara Loewenstein and Bezankeng Njinju

2022, issue 10, vol 2022

Means-Tested Transfers, Asset Limits, and Universal Basic Income pp. 8 Downloads
André Victor Doherty Luduvice

2022, issue 09, vol 2022

Why Worry about Financial Exclusion? pp. 10 Downloads
Paola Boel and Peter Zimmerman

2022, issue 08, vol 2022

Planning for Surprises, Learning from Crises: The 2021 Financial Stability Conference pp. 5 Downloads
Joseph Haubrich

2022, issue 07, vol 2022

Unbanked in America: A Review of the Literature pp. 10 Downloads
Paola Boel and Peter Zimmerman

2022, issue 06, vol 2022

Understanding Which Prices Affect Inflation Expectations pp. 7 Downloads
Chris Campos, Micheal McMain and Mathieu Pedemonte

2022, issue 05, vol 2022

Adjusting Median and Trimmed-Mean Inflation Rates for Bias Based on Skewness pp. 7 Downloads
Robert Rich, Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman

2022, issue 04, vol 2022

Access to Credit for Small and Minority-Owned Businesses pp. 6 Downloads
Brent Meyer and Mark Schweitzer

2022, issue 03, vol 2022

Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations pp. 9 Downloads
Ina Hajdini, Edward Knotek, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte, Robert Rich and Raphael Schoenle

2022, issue 02, vol 2022

Average Inflation Targeting in a Low-Rate Environment pp. 6 Downloads
Chengcheng Jia

2022, issue 01, vol 2022

Underemployment Following the Great Recession and the COVID-19 Recession pp. 6 Downloads
Daniela Dean Avila and Kurt Lunsford

2021, issue 23, vol 2021

What’s Holding Back Employment in the Recovery from the COVID-19 Pandemic? pp. 8 Downloads
Mark Schweitzer and Rachel Widra

2021, issue 22, vol 2021

Evaluating Homeownership as the Solution to Wealth Inequality pp. 7 Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Ross Cohen-Kristiansen

2021, issue 21, vol 2021

Boomerang Kids in the Pandemic: How High-Income Families Are Their Own Safety Net pp. 7 Downloads
André Victor Doherty Luduvice and Rachel Widra

2021, issue 20, vol 2021

PPP Loans & State-level Employment Growth pp. 7 Downloads
Bezankeng Njinju and Murat Tasci

2021, issue 19, vol 2021

Whose Inflation Expectations Best Predict Inflation? pp. 7 Downloads
Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman

2021, issue 18, vol 2021

The Racial Wealth Gap and Access to Opportunity Neighborhoods pp. 5 Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis, Daniel Carroll and Eric Young

2021, issue 17, vol 2021

Semiconductor Shortages and Vehicle Production and Prices pp. 7 Downloads
Pawel Krolikowski and Kristoph Naggert

2021, issue 16, vol 2021

Why Has Durable Goods Spending Been So Strong during the COVID-19 Pandemic? pp. 6 Downloads
Kristen Tauber and Willem Van Zandweghe

2021, issue 15, vol 2021

Why Wasn’t there a Nonbank Mortgage Servicer Liquidity Crisis? pp. 7 Downloads
Lara Loewenstein

2021, issue 14, vol 2021

How the Pandemic Has Reshaped Economic Inclusion in the United States pp. 6 Downloads
Emily Dohrman and Mark Schweitzer

2021, issue 13, vol 2021

How Well Did PPP Loans Reach Low- and Moderate-Income Communities? pp. 5 Downloads
Garrett Borawski and Mark Schweitzer

2021, issue 12, vol 2021

How Sure Can We Be about a COVID-19 Test Result if the Tests Are Not Perfectly Accurate? pp. 4 Downloads
Allan Dizioli and Roberto Pinheiro

2021, issue 11, vol 2021

Expected Post-Pandemic Consumption and Scarred Expectations from COVID-19 pp. 8 Downloads
Alexander Dietrich, Edward Knotek, Micheal McMain, Kristian Ove R. Myrseth, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber

2021, issue 10, vol 2021

Two Approaches to Predicting the Path of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Is One Better? pp. 8 Downloads
Ben Craig, Thomas Phelan, Jan-Peter Siedlarek and Jared Steinberg

2021, issue 09, vol 2021

Flexible Average Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: A Look at the Reaction by Professional Forecasters pp. 7 Downloads
Kristoph Naggert, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy

2021, issue 08, vol 2021

Which Industries Received PPP Loans? pp. 8 Downloads
Garrett Borawski and Mark Schweitzer

2021, issue 07, vol 2021

Stress, Contagion, and Transmission: 2020 Financial Stability Conference pp. 5 Downloads
Joseph Haubrich

2021, issue 06, vol 2021

Economic Inclusion 2000–2020: Labor Market Trends by Race in the US and States pp. 11 Downloads
Kyle Fee

2021, issue 05, vol 2021

Modeling Behavioral Responses to COVID-19 pp. 6 Downloads
Ben Craig, Thomas Phelan and Jan-Peter Siedlarek

2021, issue 04, vol 2021

COVID-19 and Education: A Survey of the Research pp. 6 Downloads
Peter Hinrichs

2021, issue 03, vol 2021

Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary pp. 3 Downloads
Edward Knotek, Michael Lamla, Emanuel Moench, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber

2021, issue 02, vol 2021

Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary pp. 7 Downloads
Philippe Andrade, Marco Del Negro, Colin Hottman, Christian Hoynck, Edward Knotek, Matthias Meier, Robert Rich, Elisa Rubbo, Raphael Schoenle, Daniel Villar Vallenas and Michael Weber

2020, issue 01, vol 2021

Recessions and the Trend in the US Unemployment Rate pp. 8 Downloads
Kurt Lunsford

2020, issue 27, vol 2020

Forward Guidance during the Pandemic: Has It Changed the Public’s Expectations? pp. 7 Downloads
Wesley Janson and Chengcheng Jia

2020, issue 26, vol 2020

Short-Time Compensation: An Alternative to Layoffs during COVID-19 pp. 6 Downloads
Pawel Krolikowski and Anna Weixel

2020, issue 25, vol 2020

Subprime May Not Have Caused the 2000s Housing Crisis: Evidence from Cleveland, Ohio pp. 8 Downloads
Lara Loewenstein

2020, issue 24, vol 2020

Why Are Headline PCE and Median PCE Inflations So Far Apart? pp. 6 Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Ross Cohen-Kristiansen

2020, issue 23, vol 2020

Improving Epidemic Modeling with Networks pp. 8 Downloads
Ben Craig, Thomas Phelan, Jan-Peter Siedlarek and Jared Steinberg

2020, issue 22, vol 2020

Financial Stability: Risks, Resilience, and Policy pp. 4 Downloads
Joseph Haubrich

2020, issue 21, vol 2020

Assessing Layoffs in Four Midwestern States during the Pandemic Recession pp. 6 Downloads
Ruben Hernandez-Murillo and Pawel Krolikowski

2020, issue 20, vol 2020

Consumers and COVID-19: Survey Results on Mask-Wearing Behaviors and Beliefs pp. 7 Downloads
Alexander Dietrich, Edward Knotek, Gernot Müller, Kristian Ove R. Myrseth, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber

2020, issue 19, vol 2020

How Aggregation Matters for Measured Wage Growth pp. 9 Downloads
Michael Morris, Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy

2020, issue 18, vol 2020

Measuring Deaths from COVID-19 pp. 7 Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Kristen Tauber

2020, issue 17, vol 2020

The Effect of the 2017 Tax Reform on Investment pp. 5 Downloads
Filippo Occhino

2020, issue 16, vol 2020

A Growth-Augmented Phillips Curve pp. 6 Downloads
Kristen Tauber and Willem Van Zandweghe

2020, issue 15, vol 2020

The Information Effect of Monetary Policy: Self-Defeating or Optimal? pp. 5 Downloads
Wesley Janson and Chengcheng Jia

2020, issue 14, vol 2020

Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics | 2019 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary pp. 3 Downloads
Timo Haber, Edward Knotek, Jean-Paul L'Huillier, Julio Ortiz, Damjan Pfajfar, Robert Rich and Raphael Schoenle

2020, issue 13, vol 2020

The 1918 Flu and COVID-19 Pandemics: Different Patients, Different Economy pp. 5 Downloads
Ross Cohen-Kristiansen and Roberto Pinheiro

2020, issue 12, vol 2020

Intergenerational Homeownership and Mortgage Distress pp. 7 Downloads
Nicholas Fritsch and Rawley Heimer

2020, issue 11, vol 2020

Lessons on the Economics of Pandemics from Recent Research pp. 7 Downloads
Sewon Hur and Michael Jenuwine

2020, issue 10, vol 2020

The Labor-Market Skills of Foreign-born Workers in the United States, 2007–2017 pp. 7 Downloads
Ruben Hernandez-Murillo

2020, issue 09, vol 2020

The Unemployment Cost of COVID-19: How High and How Long? Downloads
Aysegul Sahin and Murat Tasci

2020, issue 08, vol 2020

Consumers and COVID-19: A Real-Time Survey pp. 6 Downloads
Alexander Dietrich, Edward Knotek, Keith Kuester, Gernot Müller, Kristian Ove R. Myrseth, Raphael Schoenle and Michael Weber

2020, issue 07, vol 2020

Credit Market Frictions, Business Cycles, and Monetary Policy: The Research Contributions of Charles Carlstrom and Timothy Fuerst pp. 5 Downloads
Todd Clark, Matthias Paustian and Eric Sims

2020, issue 06, vol 2020

The CPI–PCEPI Inflation Differential: Causes and Prospects pp. 8 Downloads
Carola Binder, Wesley Janson and Randal Verbrugge

2020, issue 05, vol 2020

A Brief History of Bank Capital Requirements in the United States pp. 6 Downloads
Joseph Haubrich

2020, issue 04, vol 2020

Do Affirmative Action Bans Cause Students to Move Across State Lines to Attend College? pp. 6 Downloads
Peter Hinrichs

2020, issue 03, vol 2020

Is the Middle Class Worse Off Than It Used to Be? pp. 6 Downloads
Emily Dohrman and Bruce Fallick

2020, issue 02, vol 2020

Revisiting Wage Growth after the Recession pp. 5 Downloads
Roberto Pinheiro and Meifeng Yang

2020, issue 01, vol 2020

A Forecasting Assessment of Market-Based PCE Inflation Downloads
Mark Bognanni
Page updated 2023-03-25