Economic Commentary

1982 - 2025

From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2013, issue Dec

When Might the Federal Funds Rate Lift Off? Computing the Probabilities of Crossing Unemployment and Inflation Thresholds

Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman

2013, issue Nov

Improving inflation forecasts in the medium to long term

Saeed Zaman

The surprising impact of high school math on job market outcomes

Jonathan James

Forecasting implications of the recent decline in inflation

Todd Clark and Saeed Zaman

The employability of returning citizens is key to neighborhood revitalization

Ozgur Ergungor and Nelson Oliver

Population Distribution and Educational Attainment within MSAs, 1980-2010

Kyle Fee

2013, issue Oct

The limitations of foreign-exchange intervention: lessons from Switzerland

Owen Humpage

Housing recovery: how far have we come?

Kyle Fee and Daniel Hartley

Are households saving enough for a secure retirement?

LaVaughan Henry

2013, issue Aug

Why small business lending isn’t what it used to be

Scott Shane and Ann Marie Wiersch

2013, issue Jul

Monetary policy tightening and long-term interest rates

Pedro Amaral

Keeping the house or moving for a job

Yuliya Demyanyk, Dmytro Hryshko, Maria Luengo-Prado and Bent Sorensen

2013, issue Jun

What constitutes substantial employment gains in today’s labor market?

Mark Schweitzer and Murat Tasci

2013, issue May

Urban decline in rust-belt cities

Daniel Hartley

2013, issue Apr

Why are interest rates so low?

Joseph Haubrich

Forecasting inflation? Target the middle

Brent Meyer, Guhan Venkatu and Saeed Zaman

2013, issue Feb

Monetary policy: from there to here to where?

Mark S. Sniderman

Are we like Sweden? recovery in the labor market

Ozgur Ergungor

2013, issue Jan

The concentration of poverty within metropolitan areas

Dionissi Aliprantis, Kyle Fee and Nelson Oliver

2013, issue 11

The Employability of Returning Citizens Is Key to Neighborhood Revitalization

Ozgur Ergungor and Nelson Oliver

Population Distribution and Educational Attainment within MSAs, 1980–2010

Kyle Fee

2012, issue 17, vol 2012

Gaps versus growth rates in the Taylor Rule pp. 4

Charles Carlstrom and Timothy Fuerst

2012, issue Nov

Capital requirements for financial firms

Joseph Haubrich and James Thomson

Time-consistent rules in monetary and fiscal policy

Daniel Carroll

2012, issue Oct

Alternatives to Libor in consumer mortgages

Mark Schweitzer and Guhan Venkatu

Where would the federal funds rate be, if it could be negative?

Ellis Tallman and Saeed Zaman

Policy rules in macroeconomic forecasting models

Todd Clark

2012, issue Sept

Labor's declining share of income and rising inequality

Margaret Jacobson and Filippo Occhino

2012, issue Aug

Americans cut their debt

Yuliya Demyanyk and Matthew Koepke

The college wage premium

Jonathan James

Household formation and the great recession

Timothy Dunne

2012, issue July

Communication, credibility, and price stability: lessons learned from Japan

Owen Humpage

2012, issue June

An unstable Okun’s Law, not the best rule of thumb

Brent Meyer and Murat Tasci

Technology shocks and unemployment in the last recession

Pedro Amaral

2012, issue May

10 things to know about the shape of Ohio’s skilled workforce

Timothy Dunne and Guhan Venkatu

Exchange-traded funds

Ozgur Ergungor

2012, issue Mar

Overvaluing residential properties and the growing glut of REO

Thomas Fitzpatrick and Stephan Whitaker

The Cleveland financial stress index

Timothy Bianco, Mikhail Oet and Stephen J. Ong

2012, issue Feb

Do rising rents complicate inflation assessment?

Brent Meyer

The history and rationale for a separate bank resolution process

Thomas Fitzpatrick, Moira Kearney-Marks and James Thomson

2011, issue Dec

Municipal finance in the face of falling property values

Thomas Fitzpatrick and Mary Zenker

Concentrated poverty

Dionissi Aliprantis and Mary Zenker

2011, issue Nov

Economic policy uncertainty and small business expansion

Mark Schweitzer and Scott Shane

2011, issue Oct

The growing difference in college attainment between women and men

Dionissi Aliprantis, Timothy Dunne and Kyle Fee

Reducing the federal deficit: approaches in some other countries

Daniel Carroll and John Lindner

The future of inflation

Joseph Haubrich

How well does bankruptcy work when large financial firms fail? Some lessons from Lehman Brothers

Thomas Fitzpatrick and James Thomson

Macroeconomic models, forecasting, and policymaking

Andrea Pescatori and Saeed Zaman

2011, issue Sept

Unemployment, labor costs, and recessions: implications for the inflation outlook

Kyle Fee and Mark Schweitzer

This time may not be that different: labor markets, the Great Recession and the (not so great) recovery

Murat Tasci

2011, issue Aug

Food and energy price shocks: what other prices are affected?

Todd Clark and Saeed Zaman

Do bank branches matter anymore?

Ozgur Ergungor and Stephanie Moulton

Credit flows to businesses during the Great Recession

Pedro Amaral

Resolving large, complex financial firms

Thomas Fitzpatrick, Mark B. Greenlee and James Thomson

2011, issue July

Foreclosure-related vacancy rates

Stephan Whitaker

2011, issue June

Raising the college degree share: How nongraduates figure into it

Stephan Whitaker

Shocks and the economic outlook

Kenneth Beauchemin

Labor market rigidity, unemployment, and the Great Recession

Murat Tasci and Mary Zenker

2011, issue May

Do commodity prices signal inflation?

Owen Humpage

Demographic differences in inflation expectations: what do they really mean?

Brent Meyer and Guhan Venkatu

2011, issue Apr

Buy a home or rent? A better way to choose

Ozgur Ergungor and Saeed Zaman

2011, issue Mar

Household balance sheets and the recovery

Timothy Bianco and Filippo Occhino

The Great Recession’s effect on entrepreneurship

Scott Shane

2011, issue Feb

Homeowner subsidies

Ozgur Ergungor

2011, issue Jan

High unemployment after the recession: mostly cyclical, but adjusting slowly

Murat Tasci

An end to too big to let fail? The Dodd-Frank Act's orderly liquidation authority

Thomas Fitzpatrick and James Thomson