Economic Commentary

1982 - 2026

From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2014, issue Nov

Reassessing the Effects of Extending Unemployment Insurance Benefits

Pedro Amaral and Jessica Ice

2014, issue Oct

Income Inequality and Income-Class Consumption Patterns

LaVaughan Henry

Public Housing, Concentrated Poverty, and Crime

Daniel Hartley

A Gap in Regulation and the Looser Lending Standards that Followed

Yuliya Demyanyk and Elena Loutskina

How Much Slack Is in the Labor Market? That Depends on What You Mean by Slack

Murat Tasci and Randal Verbrugge

Interest Rate Risk and Rising Maturities

William Bednar and Mahmoud Elamin

2014, issue Sept

The Evolution of Household Leverage during the Recovery

Stephan Whitaker

2014, issue Aug

On the Relationships between Wages, Prices, and Economic Activity

Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman

The Shifting Source of New Business Establishments and New Jobs

Ian Hathaway, Mark Schweitzer and Scott Shane

The Importance of Trend Inflation in the Search for Missing Disinflation

Todd Clark

2014, issue Jul

Does the CDFI Fund Help Low-Income Borrowers?

Kristle Cortes

2014, issue June

Rising Interest Rate Risk at US Banks

William Bednar and Mahmoud Elamin

New Rules for Credit Default Swap Trading: Can We Now Follow the Risk?

John Carlson and Margaret Jacobson

2014, issue May

Why Do Economists Still Disagree over Government Spending Multipliers?

Daniel Carroll

Adding Double Inertia to Taylor Rules to Improve Accuracy

Charles Carlstrom and Timothy Fuerst

The Slowdown in Residential Investment and Future Prospects

Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman

2014, issue April

Which Estimates of Metropolitan-Area Jobs Growth Should We Trust?

Joel Elvery and Christopher Vecchio

Which Poor Neighborhoods Experienced Income Growth in Recent Decades?

Dionissi Aliprantis and Kyle Fee

Cooperation, Conflict, and the Emergence of a Modern Federal Reserve

Owen Humpage

2014, issue March

Using an Improved Taylor Rule to Predict When Policy Changes Will Occur

Charles Carlstrom and Saeed Zaman

Estimating the Impact of Fast-Tracking Foreclosures in Ohio and Pennsylvania

Kyle Fee and Thomas J. Fitzpatrick

The Overhang of Structures before and since the Great Recession

Margaret Jacobson and Filippo Occhino

2014, issue Feb.

Do Oil Prices Predict Inflation?

Mehmet Pasaogullari and Patricia Waiwood

2013, issue Dec

When Might the Federal Funds Rate Lift Off? Computing the Probabilities of Crossing Unemployment and Inflation Thresholds

Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman

2013, issue Nov

Improving inflation forecasts in the medium to long term

Saeed Zaman

The surprising impact of high school math on job market outcomes

Jonathan James

Forecasting implications of the recent decline in inflation

Todd Clark and Saeed Zaman

The employability of returning citizens is key to neighborhood revitalization

Ozgur Ergungor and Nelson Oliver

Population Distribution and Educational Attainment within MSAs, 1980-2010

Kyle Fee

2013, issue Oct

Housing recovery: how far have we come?

Kyle Fee and Daniel Hartley

The limitations of foreign-exchange intervention: lessons from Switzerland

Owen Humpage

Are households saving enough for a secure retirement?

LaVaughan Henry

2013, issue Aug

Why small business lending isn’t what it used to be

Scott Shane and Ann Marie Wiersch

2013, issue Jul

Monetary policy tightening and long-term interest rates

Pedro Amaral

Keeping the house or moving for a job

Yuliya Demyanyk, Dmytro Hryshko, Maria Luengo-Prado and Bent Sorensen

2013, issue Jun

What constitutes substantial employment gains in today’s labor market?

Mark Schweitzer and Murat Tasci

2013, issue May

Urban decline in rust-belt cities

Daniel Hartley

2013, issue Apr

Why are interest rates so low?

Joseph Haubrich

Forecasting inflation? Target the middle

Brent Meyer, Guhan Venkatu and Saeed Zaman

2013, issue Feb

Monetary policy: from there to here to where?

Mark S. Sniderman

Are we like Sweden? recovery in the labor market

Ozgur Ergungor

2013, issue Jan

The concentration of poverty within metropolitan areas

Dionissi Aliprantis, Kyle Fee and Nelson Oliver

2013, issue 11

The Employability of Returning Citizens Is Key to Neighborhood Revitalization

Ozgur Ergungor and Nelson Oliver

Population Distribution and Educational Attainment within MSAs, 1980–2010

Kyle Fee

2012, issue 17, vol 2012

Gaps versus growth rates in the Taylor Rule pp. 4

Charles Carlstrom and Timothy Fuerst

2012, issue Nov

Time-consistent rules in monetary and fiscal policy

Daniel Carroll

Capital requirements for financial firms

Joseph Haubrich and James Thomson

2012, issue Oct

Alternatives to Libor in consumer mortgages

Mark Schweitzer and Guhan Venkatu

Policy rules in macroeconomic forecasting models

Todd Clark

Where would the federal funds rate be, if it could be negative?

Ellis Tallman and Saeed Zaman

2012, issue Sept

Labor's declining share of income and rising inequality

Margaret Jacobson and Filippo Occhino

2012, issue Aug

Household formation and the great recession

Timothy Dunne

Americans cut their debt

Yuliya Demyanyk and Matthew Koepke

The college wage premium

Jonathan James

2012, issue July

Communication, credibility, and price stability: lessons learned from Japan

Owen Humpage

2012, issue June

An unstable Okun’s Law, not the best rule of thumb

Brent Meyer and Murat Tasci

Technology shocks and unemployment in the last recession

Pedro Amaral

2012, issue May

10 things to know about the shape of Ohio’s skilled workforce

Timothy Dunne and Guhan Venkatu

Exchange-traded funds

Ozgur Ergungor

2012, issue Mar

Overvaluing residential properties and the growing glut of REO

Thomas Fitzpatrick and Stephan Whitaker

The Cleveland financial stress index

Timothy Bianco, Mikhail Oet and Stephen J. Ong

2012, issue Feb

Do rising rents complicate inflation assessment?

Brent Meyer

The history and rationale for a separate bank resolution process

Thomas Fitzpatrick, Moira Kearney-Marks and James Thomson