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Economic Commentary

1982 - 2025

From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Contact information at EDIRC.

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2019, issue 22, vol 2019

Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary pp. 6 Downloads
Andres Blanco, Mina Kim, Edward Knotek, Matthias Paustian, Robert Rich, Jane Ryngaert, Raphael Schoenle, Joris Tielens, Michael Weber, Mirko Wiederholt and Tony Zhang

2019, issue 21, vol 2019

Using Advance Layoff Notices as a Labor Market Indicator Downloads
Pawel Krolikowski, Kurt Lunsford and Meifeng Yang

2019, issue 10, vol 2019

Behavior of a New Median PCE Measure: A Tale of Tails Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Randal Verbrugge

2019, issue November

Challenges with Estimating U Star in Real Time Downloads
Murat Tasci
Have Stress Tests Impacted Small-Business Lending? Downloads
Yuliya Demyanyk
The Souk al-Manakh Crash Downloads
Ben Craig

2019, issue October

Has the Real-Time Reliability of Monthly Indicators Changed over Time? Downloads
Mark Bognanni
Racial Inequality, Neighborhood Effects, and Moving to Opportunity Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis

2019, issue September

Cyclical versus Acyclical Inflation: A Deeper Dive Downloads
Saeed Zaman
Trends in the Noninterest Income of Banks Downloads
Joseph Haubrich and Tristan Young
The Winners and Losers from Trade Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Sewon Hur

2019, issue July

The Flattening of the Phillips Curve: Policy Implications Depend on the Cause Downloads
Filippo Occhino
Bitcoin’s Decentralized Decision Structure Downloads
Ben Craig and Joseph Kachovec

2019, issue June

Changes in the Occupational Structure of the United States: 1860 to 2015 Downloads
Joel Elvery

2019, issue May

12 Facts about Temporary Urbanists Downloads
Stephan Whitaker
Population, Migration, and Generations in Urban Neighborhoods Downloads
Stephan Whitaker

2019, issue April

Residual Seasonality in GDP Growth Remains after Latest BEA Improvements Downloads
Victoria Consolvo and Kurt Lunsford
Changing Policy Rule Parameters Implied by the Median SEP Paths Downloads
Edward Knotek

2019, issue March

Custom Comparison Groups in the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System Downloads
Peter Hinrichs

2019, issue February

What Is Behind the Persistence of the Racial Wealth Gap? Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Daniel Carroll

2019, issue January

Do Longer Expansions Lead to More Severe Recessions? Downloads
Murat Tasci and Nicholas Zevanove
Asset Commonality in US Banks and Financial Stability Downloads
Nicholas Fritsch and Jan-Peter Siedlarek

2018, issue 06, vol 2018

Can Yield Curve Inversions Be Predicted? pp. 6 Downloads
Kurt Lunsford

2018, issue 05, vol 2018

An Assessment of the ISM Manufacturing Price Index for Inflation Forecasting pp. 6 Downloads
Mark Bognanni and Tristan Young

2018, issue 04, vol 2018

College Endowments pp. 6 Downloads
Peter Hinrichs

2018, issue 03, vol 2018

Are the New Basel III Capital Buffers Countercyclical? Exploring the Option of a Rule-Based Countercyclical Buffer pp. 6 Downloads
Filippo Occhino

2018, issue 02, vol 2018

Using Economic Experiments to Improve Contingent Convertible Capital Bonds pp. 6 Downloads
Douglas Davis and Edward Prescott

2018, issue 01, vol 2018

Labor Market Tightness across the United States since the Great Recession pp. 6 Downloads
Murat Tasci and Caitlin Treanor

2018, issue August

Parental Assistance after Job Loss Downloads
Patrick Coate, Pawel Krolikowski and Mike Zabek
The Evolution of the Labor Share across Developed Countries Downloads
Roberto Pinheiro and Meifeng Yang

2017, issue November

Do Foreign-Born Workers Cause Native-Born Workers to Move or Leave the Labor Force? Downloads
Allan Dizioli and Roberto Pinheiro
Productivity Growth and Real Interest Rates in the Long Run Downloads
Kurt Lunsford
Have Inflation Dynamics Changed? Downloads
Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman

2017, issue October

When States Default: Lessons from Law and History Downloads
Ozgur Ergungor
The 1970s Origins of Too Big to Fail Downloads
George Nurisso and Edward Prescott

2017, issue September

What’s Gone Wrong (and Right) in the Industrial Heartland? Downloads
Mark Schweitzer
The Opioid Epidemic and the Labor Market Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Anne Chen

2017, issue August

Merger Control in the Banking Sector Downloads
Jan-Peter Siedlarek
Measuring the True Impact of Job Loss on Future Earnings Downloads
Pawel Krolikowski
Warehousing: A Historical Lesson in Central Bank Independence Downloads
Owen Humpage
Sizing Up Systemic Risk Downloads
Charlotte DeKoning and Joseph Haubrich

2017, issue June

New Data on Wealth Mobility and Their Impact on Models of Inequality Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Nicholas Hoffman

2017, issue May

How Small Banks Deal with Large Shocks Downloads
Kristle Cortes

2017, issue April

The Federal Funds Market since the Financial Crisis Downloads
Ben Craig and Sara Millington

2017, issue March

Wage Growth after the Great Recession Downloads
Roberto Pinheiro and Meifeng Yang
Trends in Revenues at US Colleges and Universities, 1987-2013 Downloads
Peter Hinrichs
Lingering Residual Seasonality in GDP Growth Downloads
Kurt Lunsford

2017, issue February

Parental Proximity and the Earnings Consequences of Job Loss Downloads
Patrick Coate, Pawel Krolikowski and Mike Zabek

2017, issue January

Monetary Policy and Inequality Downloads
Pedro Amaral
The State of States’ Unemployment in the Fourth District Downloads
Murat Tasci, Caitlin Treanor and Christopher Vecchio
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