Economic Commentary

1982 - 2026

From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2019, volume 2019, articles 22

Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary pp. 6

Andres Blanco, Mina Kim, Edward Knotek, Matthias Paustian, Robert Rich, Jane Ryngaert, Raphael Schoenle, Joris Tielens, Michael Weber, Mirko Wiederholt and Tony Zhang

2019, volume 2019, articles 21

Using Advance Layoff Notices as a Labor Market Indicator

Pawel Krolikowski, Kurt Lunsford and Meifeng Yang

2019, volume 2019, articles 10

Behavior of a New Median PCE Measure: A Tale of Tails

Daniel Carroll and Randal Verbrugge

2019, articles November

Challenges with Estimating U Star in Real Time

Murat Tasci

Have Stress Tests Impacted Small-Business Lending?

Yuliya Demyanyk

The Souk al-Manakh Crash

Ben Craig

2019, articles October

Has the Real-Time Reliability of Monthly Indicators Changed over Time?

Mark Bognanni

Racial Inequality, Neighborhood Effects, and Moving to Opportunity

Dionissi Aliprantis

2019, articles September

Cyclical versus Acyclical Inflation: A Deeper Dive

Saeed Zaman

Trends in the Noninterest Income of Banks

Joseph Haubrich and Tristan Young

The Winners and Losers from Trade

Daniel Carroll and Sewon Hur

2019, articles July

The Flattening of the Phillips Curve: Policy Implications Depend on the Cause

Filippo Occhino

Bitcoin’s Decentralized Decision Structure

Ben Craig and Joseph Kachovec

2019, articles June

Changes in the Occupational Structure of the United States: 1860 to 2015

Joel Elvery

2019, articles May

12 Facts about Temporary Urbanists

Stephan Whitaker

Population, Migration, and Generations in Urban Neighborhoods

Stephan Whitaker

2019, articles April

Residual Seasonality in GDP Growth Remains after Latest BEA Improvements

Victoria Consolvo and Kurt Lunsford

Changing Policy Rule Parameters Implied by the Median SEP Paths

Edward Knotek

2019, articles March

Custom Comparison Groups in the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System

Peter Hinrichs

2019, articles February

What Is Behind the Persistence of the Racial Wealth Gap?

Dionissi Aliprantis and Daniel Carroll

2019, articles January

Do Longer Expansions Lead to More Severe Recessions?

Murat Tasci and Nicholas Zevanove

Asset Commonality in US Banks and Financial Stability

Nicholas Fritsch and Jan-Peter Siedlarek

2018, volume 2018, articles 06

Can Yield Curve Inversions Be Predicted? pp. 6

Kurt Lunsford

2018, volume 2018, articles 05

An Assessment of the ISM Manufacturing Price Index for Inflation Forecasting pp. 6

Mark Bognanni and Tristan Young

2018, volume 2018, articles 04

College Endowments pp. 6

Peter Hinrichs

2018, volume 2018, articles 03

Are the New Basel III Capital Buffers Countercyclical? Exploring the Option of a Rule-Based Countercyclical Buffer pp. 6

Filippo Occhino

2018, volume 2018, articles 02

Using Economic Experiments to Improve Contingent Convertible Capital Bonds pp. 6

Douglas Davis and Edward Prescott

2018, volume 2018, articles 01

Labor Market Tightness across the United States since the Great Recession pp. 6

Murat Tasci and Caitlin Treanor

2018, articles August

Parental Assistance after Job Loss

Patrick Coate, Pawel Krolikowski and Mike Zabek

The Evolution of the Labor Share across Developed Countries

Roberto Pinheiro and Meifeng Yang

2017, articles November

Do Foreign-Born Workers Cause Native-Born Workers to Move or Leave the Labor Force?

Allan Dizioli and Roberto Pinheiro

Productivity Growth and Real Interest Rates in the Long Run

Kurt Lunsford

Have Inflation Dynamics Changed?

Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman

2017, articles October

When States Default: Lessons from Law and History

Ozgur Ergungor

The 1970s Origins of Too Big to Fail

George Nurisso and Edward Prescott

2017, articles September

What’s Gone Wrong (and Right) in the Industrial Heartland?

Mark Schweitzer

The Opioid Epidemic and the Labor Market

Dionissi Aliprantis and Anne Chen

2017, articles August

Merger Control in the Banking Sector

Jan-Peter Siedlarek

Measuring the True Impact of Job Loss on Future Earnings

Pawel Krolikowski

Warehousing: A Historical Lesson in Central Bank Independence

Owen Humpage

Sizing Up Systemic Risk

Charlotte DeKoning and Joseph Haubrich

2017, articles June

New Data on Wealth Mobility and Their Impact on Models of Inequality

Daniel Carroll and Nicholas Hoffman

2017, articles May

How Small Banks Deal with Large Shocks

Kristle Cortes

2017, articles April

The Federal Funds Market since the Financial Crisis

Ben Craig and Sara Millington

2017, articles March

Wage Growth after the Great Recession

Roberto Pinheiro and Meifeng Yang

Trends in Revenues at US Colleges and Universities, 1987-2013

Peter Hinrichs

Lingering Residual Seasonality in GDP Growth

Kurt Lunsford

2017, articles February

Parental Proximity and the Earnings Consequences of Job Loss

Patrick Coate, Pawel Krolikowski and Mike Zabek

2017, articles January

Monetary Policy and Inequality

Pedro Amaral

The State of States’ Unemployment in the Fourth District

Murat Tasci, Caitlin Treanor and Christopher Vecchio