Mirror, mirror, who’s the best forecaster of them all?

Michael F. Bryan and Linsey Molloy

Economic Commentary, 2007, issue Mar

Abstract: Say you need an accurate forecast of future GDP or inflation. What?s your best bet?the economist who was hot last year or the forecaster in the middle? The record indicates it?s tough to consistently beat the median prediction.

Keywords: Economic; forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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