Firm-Level Pass-Through of Supply Chain Disruptions: Insights from the U.S. Beef Market

Marco Duarte (), Meilin Ma () and Francisco Scott
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Meilin Ma: https://ag.purdue.edu/directory/ma155

No RWP 25-20, Research Working Paper from Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Abstract: We leverage a fire outbreak that caused a large but temporary capacity loss at the largest U.S. beef packer to study how firm conduct shapes the pass-through of supply disruptions along the supply chain. Despite evidence of industry-wide increases in processing costs, retail prices for the affected packer’s products fell. To rationalize this pattern, we develop a model of bilateral retailer-packer bargaining that accounts for reliability of product delivery. The model highlights how disruptions alter bargaining leverage and shift margins between buyer and seller. Counterfactual simulations demonstrate that the sign and magnitude of pass-through are highly sensitive to the magnitude of capacity loss and perceived reliability.

Keywords: cost pass-through; supply chain disruptions; Beef cattle; Meat processing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 L13 Q14 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 50
Date: 2025-11-25
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-com and nep-ind
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedkrw:102167

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DOI: 10.18651/RWP2025-20

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