Estimations macroéconomiques de l'impact des dépenses militaires sur les économies de la France et de la Grande-Bretagne
Jacques Fontanel (),
Stephen Martin and
Ronald Smith
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Jacques Fontanel: CESICE - Centre d'études sur la sécurité internationale et les coopérations européennes - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - IEPG - Sciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble
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Abstract:
To estimate the impact of military spending on economic growth and development, a theoretical simultaneous equation model is constructed, using investment, employment, and GDP growth rate equations. On the basis of national information, estimates of the impact of changes in military spending on these explained variables are simulated. The differences between the estimates of the two countries are not always very significant. If the statistical tests are satisfactory, the model is only a limited representation of the complex process that determines investment, unemployment, and growth. Initially, the effect of an increase in military spending is positive (expansion of demand), but the effects on unemployment and investment are greater and ultimately reduce the growth potential of both countries.
Keywords: Economic model; Employment; Investment; Economic Growth; United Kingdom; Military expenditure; Croissance économique; Investissement; Emploi; Modèle économique; France; Royaume- Uni; Dépenses militaires (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1985
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.univ-grenoble-alpes.fr/hal-02938192v1
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Published in Arès. Supplément, 1985, L'effort économique de défense : exemples de la France et du Royaume-Uni, pp.107-127
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02938192
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