Informal pay gaps in good and bad times: Evidence from Russia

Olivier Bargain (), Audrey Etienne () and Blaise Melly
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Olivier Bargain: Larefi - Laboratoire d'analyse et de recherche en économie et finance internationales - UB - Université de Bordeaux, GREThA - Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée - UB - Université de Bordeaux - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, IZA - Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit - Institute of Labor Economics
Audrey Etienne: OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po, LERN - Laboratoire d'Economie Rouen Normandie - UNIROUEN - Université de Rouen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université - IRIHS - Institut de Recherche Interdisciplinaire Homme et Société - UNIROUEN - Université de Rouen Normandie - NU - Normandie Université
Blaise Melly: UNIBE - Universität Bern = University of Bern = Université de Berne, IZA - Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit - Institute of Labor Economics

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Abstract: Informal work is traditionally large in Russia and has further increased in the recent years. We explore the implications of this shift in terms of wage dynamics. Our characterization is based on the estimation of informal pay gaps at the mean and along the wage distribution, relying on the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey for 2003–2017. Our approach comprises three original features: we rely on unconditional quantile effects of informality, we incorporate quantile-specific fixed effects using a tractable approach, and we suggest a treatment of the incidental parameter bias. Over the whole period, informal wage penalties are relatively small and do not suggest heavily segmented labor markets, even at low wage levels. Yet, in the past decade, a substantial negative selection into informal employment and self-employment has taken place, on average and especially at low earnings. Economic downturns and labor market policies have likely contributed to the shakeout of less productive workers in the formal sector, making the low-tier informal sector more of a last resort.

Keywords: Russia; Informal employment; Wage gap; Unconditional quantile regression; Fixed effects; Incidental parameter bias; Jackknife (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-09
Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03683390v1
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Published in Journal of Comparative Economics, 2021, 49 (3), pp.693-714. ⟨10.1016/j.jce.2021.02.002⟩

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03683390

DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2021.02.002

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