Will they quit smoking or switch products? Potential effects of changes to excise duty rates

Maciej Albinowski, Piotr Lewandowski, Karol Madoń and Mateusz Smoter
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Karol Rafał Madon

No 04/2025, IBS Policy Papers from Instytut Badan Strukturalnych

Abstract: Problem: High consumption of nicotine products generates significant social costs. An increase in excise duty on individual products may have a limited impact on consumption if consumers are switching between products. Main message: The September 2025 excise increase on e-cigarettes significantly altered product choices but only moderately reduced the number of nicotine consumers. A substantial reduction in the consumer base requires simultaneous excise increases across all products. There is scope for stronger public education policies, as many users underestimate the harms of alternative products.

Keywords: Nicotine consumption; excise tax (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D12 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 4 pages
Date: 2025-11
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