Assessing the Determinants of Interest Rate Transmission Through Conditional Impulse Response Functions

Christian Saborowski and Sebastian Weber

No 2013/023, IMF Working Papers from International Monetary Fund

Abstract: We employ a structural panel VAR model with interaction terms to identify determinants of effective transmission from central bank policy rates to retail lending rates in a large country sample. The framework allows deriving country specific pass-through estimates broken down into the contributions of structural country characteristics and policies. The findings suggest that industrial economies tend to enjoy a higher pass-through largely on account of their more flexible exchange rate regimes and their more developed financial systems. The average pass-through in our sample increased from 30 to 60 percent between 2003 and 2008, mainly due to positive risk sentiment, rising inflation and increasingly diversified banking sectors. The crisis reversed this trend partly as banks increased precautionary liquidity holdings, non-performing loans proliferated and inflation moderated.

Keywords: WP; pass-through estimate; lending rate; policy rate; money market; interest rate transmission; Interest Rate Pass-Through; Banking Sector; Monetary Policy Transmission; Policy rate shock; money market rate; pass-through decomposition; long-run pass-through; exchange rate flexibility; Central bank policy rate; Commercial banks; Exchange rate flexibility; Liquidity management; Exchange rate arrangements; Central America; East Asia; South America; Eastern Europe; Central Asia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37
Date: 2013-01-25
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (31)

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