A Simulation Model for Predicting Yacht Match Race Outcomes

A. B. Philpott (), S. G. Henderson () and D. Teirney ()
Additional contact information
A. B. Philpott: Department of Engineering, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1020, New Zealand
S. G. Henderson: School of Operations Research and Industrial Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853
D. Teirney: Orion Systems NZ Limited, Auckland, New Zealand

Operations Research, 2004, vol. 52, issue 1, 1-16

Abstract: We outline the development of a model for predicting the outcome of a yacht match race between two competing designs. The model is a fixed-time-increment simulation that accounts for the dynamic performance of each yacht. The wind speed and direction are modelled using hidden Markov chain models. Each yacht is assumed to follow a fixed sailing strategy determined by a set of simple decision rules. The simulation models both yachts simultaneously and accounts for interactions between them---for example, when they cross. The model is illustrated by applying it to International America's Cup Class designs.

Keywords: Simulation; applications.; Recreation; and; sports:; yacht; performance; analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/opre.1030.0078 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:inm:oropre:v:52:y:2004:i:1:p:1-16

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Operations Research from INFORMS Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Asher ().