The Aftermath of Peace: The Impact of the FARC’s Ceasefire on Forced Displacement in Colombia

Pedro Albarrán, Antonio Robles and Anna Sanz-de-Galdeano ()
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Pedro Albarrán: Universidad de Alicante
Antonio Robles: Universidad de Alicante
Anna Sanz-de-Galdeano: Universidad de Alicante

No 18087, IZA Discussion Papers from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Abstract: Colombia’s prolonged conflict has made the country one of the most affected by forced internal displacement (FID) in the world. This study examines the impact of the FARC’s 2014 unilateral and permanent ceasefire on FID. We use a difference-in-differences strategy that exploits the timing of the ceasefire and the pre-conflict distribution of FARC presence across municipalities. Results show a substantial reduction in severe displacement episodes in affected areas, with effects that emerged gradually and persisted over time. These findings highlight the importance of stability and the effective implementation of peace agreements in mitigating FID and its far-reaching consequences.

Keywords: ceasefire; armed conflict; forced internal displacement; FARC; Colombia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D74 J61 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-08
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev, nep-lab and nep-mig
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