A Psychologically-Motivated Model of Opinion Change with Applications to American Politics

Peter Duggins ()
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Peter Duggins: http://compneuro.uwaterloo.ca/people/peter-duggins.html

Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2017, vol. 20, issue 1, 13

Abstract: Agent-based models are versatile tools for studying how societal opinion change, including political polarization and cultural diffusion, emerges from individual behavior. This study expands agents' psychological realism using empirically-motivated rules governing interpersonal influence, commitment to previous beliefs, and conformity in social contexts. Computational experiments establish that these extensions produce three novel results: (a) sustained strong diversity of opinions within the population, (b) opinion subcultures, and (c) pluralistic ignorance. These phenomena arise from a combination of agents' intolerance, susceptibility and conformity, with extremist agents and social networks playing important roles. The distribution and dynamics of simulated opinions reproduce two empirical datasets on Americans' political opinions.

Keywords: Agent-Based Model; Opinion Dynamics; Social Networks; Conformity; Polarization; Extremism (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-01-31
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jas:jasssj:2016-121-2

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