Modelling Human Behaviours in Disasters from Interviews: Application to Melbourne Bushfires

Carole Adam () and Benoit Gaudou ()
Additional contact information
Carole Adam: http://magma.imag.fr/content/carole-adam
Benoit Gaudou: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Benoit_Gaudou

Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 2017, vol. 20, issue 3, 12

Abstract: This paper describes a model for raising the decision-makers' awareness of the real (irrational and subjective) behaviours of the population in crisis situations. We analyse residents' statements and police hearings gathered after Victoria Black Saturday bushfires in 2009 to deduce a model of human behaviour based on the distinction between objective (capabilities, danger) and subjective (confidence, risk aversion) attributes, and on individual motivations. We evaluate it against observed behaviour archetypes and statistics, and show its explicative value.

Keywords: Human Behaviour Modelling; Agent-Based Social Simulation; Crisis Management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-06-30
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:jas:jasssj:2016-191-2

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