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The Labor Market Impacts of GLP 1s

Meltem Daysal, Camille Fredrickson, Ida Lykke Kristiansen, Mircea Trandafir and Jonathan Zhang
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Meltem Daysal: Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen
Camille Fredrickson: University of Chicago
Ida Lykke Kristiansen: Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen
Mircea Trandafir: ROCKWOOL Foundation
Jonathan Zhang: Duke University

No 26-17, CEBI working paper series from University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI)

Abstract: We estimate the causal impacts of GLP 1 treatment on labor market outcomes using linked Danish administrative data and a matched stacked difference in-differences design. We compare patients who initiate GLP 1 treatment during the first two years of Semaglutide availability to observably similar patients who initiate four years later. We find that GLP 1 treatment reduces long term sickness leave by 17.3%. We estimate total fiscal benefits of GLP 1 initiation of approximately 1.3 1.5% of annual labor income per employed individual. We do not detect statistically significant or economically meaningfulimpacts on income, labor force participation, or employment over four years.

Keywords: Health; Public Economics; GLP 1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H20 I10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 37
Date: 2026-08-07
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