Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective

Stephane Dees, Mohammad Pesaran, L. Vanessa Smith and Ron P. Smith
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Ronald Smith

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2009, vol. 41, issue 7, 1481-1502

Abstract: This paper is concerned with the estimation of New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPC) and focuses on two issues: the weak instrument problem and the characterization of the steady states. It proposes some solutions from a global perspective. Using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model steady states are estimated as long-horizon expectations and valid instruments are constructed from the global variables as weighted averages. The proposed estimation strategy is illustrated using estimates of the NKPC for eight developed industrial countries. The GVAR generates global factors that are valid instruments and help alleviate the weak instrument problem. The steady states also reflect global influences and any long-run theoretical relationships that might prevail within and across countries in the global economy. The GVAR measure of the steady state performed better than the HP measure, and the use of foreign instruments substantially increased the precision of the estimates of the output coefficient. Copyright (c) 2009 The Ohio State University.

Date: 2009
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Related works:
Journal Article: Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective (2009)
Working Paper: Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective (2008)
Working Paper: Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective (2008)
Working Paper: Identification of new Keynesian Phillips Curves from a global perspective (2008)
Working Paper: Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective (2008)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:1481-1502

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