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James Cicarelli and Andy Kubis

Challenge, 2016, vol. 59, issue 3, 223-233

Abstract: Can we measure whether economists are good at predicting upcoming breakthroughs in economic ideas? The authors of a survey find that predictions of change were accurate in some of the more obvious areas of study. But there were large areas that were mostly unanticipated, such as experimental and, to a large degree, behavioral economics.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1080/05775132.2016.1178529

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