The Effects of the Colombian Trade Liberalization on Urban Poverty

Pinelopi Goldberg and Nina Pavcnik

No 11081, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We examine whether the Colombian trade reform can explain any of Colombia's decline in urban poverty between 1984 and 1995. Our approach focuses on short- and medium- run channels through which trade reform could affect poverty. Despite the chronological coincidence of the poverty reduction with the trade reforms over this period, we do not observe any evidence of a link between poverty and tariff reductions operating through the labor income channel. Our descriptive analysis suggests that although poverty is predominately concentrated among individuals living in households with unemployed head, it is non-negligible among the employed and especially those working in the informal sector and those paid below minimum wage. Industry affiliation also plays a role. However, we find no evidence that the trade reforms reduced poverty via any of the above variables in a significant way. We cannot rule out the possibility that trade liberalization has contributed to the poverty reduction through general equilibrium effects, and in particular through its potential role in lowering the prices of goods consumed primarily by the poor.

JEL-codes: F10 F13 J31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-geo
Note: ITI
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

Published as Goldberg, Pinelope Koujianou and Nina Pavcnik. "Trade, Wages, And The Political Economy Of Trade Protection: Evidence From The Columbia Trade Reforms," Journal of International Economics, 2005, v66(1,May), 75-105.
Published as The Effects of the Colombian Trade Liberalization on Urban Poverty , Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg, Nina Pavcnik. in Globalization and Poverty , Harrison. 2007

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