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Capital Flows and the Global Collateral Cycle

Ana Fostel, John Geanakoplos and Gregory Phelan

No 25583, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: Cross-country disparities in collateral technologies alone can account for large capital flows among mature economies, and allow the most advanced country to run a permanent trade deficit. When the collateral technology advantage is in creating negative beta (super safe) financial assets backed by positive beta assets, a Global Collateral Cycle emerges, with procyclical gross and net flows and increased global asset price volatility. The supply of super safe assets is necessarily curtailed in downturns, providing a complementary (supply) channel to the flight to safety (demand) channel for explaining why US safe asset prices rise during crises.

JEL-codes: D52 D53 E32 E44 F34 F36 G01 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac
Note: AP IFM
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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