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The International Propagation of Economic Downturns Through Multinational Companies: The Real Economy Channel

Jan Bena, Serdar Dinc and Isil Erel

No 27873, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We study how non-financial multinational companies propagate economic declines from their subsidiaries located in countries experiencing an economic downturn to subsidiaries in countries not experiencing one. We find that investment is 18% lower in subsidiaries of these parents relative to the same-industry, same-country subsidiaries of parents that are headquartered in the same parent country but do not have a subsidiary in a country experiencing an economic downturn. The employment growth rate in the affected subsidiaries is zero or negative while it is 1.4% in the subsidiaries of unaffected parents. The aggregate industry-level sales and employment are also negatively impacted in the countries of the affected subsidiaries.

JEL-codes: F23 G01 G31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-09
Note: CF IFM ITI
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Published as Jan Bena & Serdar Dinc & Isil Erel, 2021. "The international propagation of economic downturns through multinational companies: The real economy channel," Journal of Financial Economics, .

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