Do Government Spending Multipliers Depend on the Sign of the Shock?

Nadav Ben Zeev, Valerie Ramey and Sarah Zubairy

No 31015, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: We analyze whether government spending multipliers differ by the sign of the shock. Using aggregate historical U.S. data, we apply Ben Zeev’s (2020) nonlinear diagnostic tests and find evidence of nonlinearities in the impulse response functions of both government spending and GDP. We then extend Ramey and Zubairy’s (2018) framework to allow for asymmetric effects as a type of state dependence to estimate multipliers. While we find differences in the impulse response functions, the resulting multipliers do not differ by sign of the shock. Thus, we find no evidence of asymmetry of government spending multipliers.

JEL-codes: E62 N12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-03
Note: EFG ME
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Published as Nadav Ben Zeev & Valerie A. Ramey & Sarah Zubairy, 2023. "Do Government Spending Multipliers Depend on the Sign of the Shock?," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 382-387, May.

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Journal Article: Do Government Spending Multipliers Depend on the Sign of the Shock? (2023)
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