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International Reserve Management under Rollover Crises

Mauricio Barbosa-Alves, Javier Bianchi and Cesar Sosa-Padilla

No 32393, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper investigates how a government should manage international reserves when it faces the risk of a rollover crisis. We ask, should the government accumulate reserves or reduce debt to make itself less vulnerable? We show that the optimal policy entails initially reducing debt, followed by a subsequent increase in both debt and reserves as the government approaches a safe zone. Furthermore, we find that issuing additional debt to accumulate reserves can lead to a reduction in sovereign spreads. Evidence from a panel of emerging economies is consistent with these predictions: increases in reserves financed by public external borrowing are associated with lower spreads, and reserve holdings are not systematically drawn down during crisis episodes.

JEL-codes: E4 E5 F32 F34 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mon and nep-opm
Note: IFM
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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