The Impacts of Guaranteed Basic Income on Crime Perpetration and Victimization

Mikko Aaltonen, Martti Kaila and Emily E. Nix

No 34547, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: This paper provides the first experimental evidence on the impact of providing a guaranteed basic income on criminal perpetration and victimization. We analyze a nationwide randomized controlled trial that provided 2,000 unemployed individuals in Finland with an unconditional monthly payment of 560 Euros for two years (2017-2018), while 173,222 comparable individuals remained under the existing social safety net. Using comprehensive administrative data on police reports and district court trials, we estimate precise zero effects on criminal perpetration and victimization. Point estimates are small and statistically insignificant across all crime categories. Our confidence intervals rule out reductions in perpetration of 5 percent or more for crime reports and 10 percent or more for criminal charges.

JEL-codes: I38 K42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-12
Note: LE LS PE
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