Bond Market Clienteles, the Yield Curve, and the Optimal Maturity Structure of Government Debt

Stéphane Guibaud, Yves Nosbusch and Dimitri Vayanos

The Review of Financial Studies, 2013, vol. 26, issue 8, 1914-1961

Abstract: We propose a clientele-based model of the yield curve and optimal maturity structure of government debt. Clienteles are generations of agents at different lifecycle stages in an overlapping-generations economy. An optimal maturity structure exists in the absence of distortionary taxes and induces efficient intergenerational risksharing. If agents are more risk-averse than log, then an increase in the long-horizon clientele raises the price and optimal supply of long-term bonds--effects that we also confirm empirically in a panel of OECD countries. Moreover, under the optimal maturity structure, catering to clienteles is limited and long-term bonds earn negative expected excess returns. The Author 2013. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com., Oxford University Press.

Date: 2013
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Working Paper: Bond Market Clienteles, the Yield Curve, and the Optimal Maturity Structure of Government Debt (2013)
Working Paper: Bond Market Clienteles, the Yield Curve, and the Optimal Maturity Structure of Government Debt (2013)
Working Paper: Bond Market Clienteles, the Yield Curve, and the Optimal Maturity Structure of Government Debt (2013)
Working Paper: Bond market clienteles, the yield curve and the optimal maturity structure of government debt (2011)
Working Paper: Bond Market Clienteles, the Yield Curve and the Optimal Maturity Structure of Government Debt (2011)
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