Maximizing government revenue: the search for the optimal cigarette excise rate in Indonesia

Wahyu Hidayat Rianto (), Muhammad Sri Wahyudi Suliswanto (), Setyo Wahyu Sulistyono (), Fitri Rusdianasari () and Firdha Aksari Anindyntha ()
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Wahyu Hidayat Rianto: Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
Muhammad Sri Wahyudi Suliswanto: Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
Setyo Wahyu Sulistyono: Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
Fitri Rusdianasari: Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang
Firdha Aksari Anindyntha: Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, 2025, vol. 24, issue 4, No 8, 393-400

Abstract: Abstract This study seeks to identify the optimal cigarette excise rate to maximize state revenues in Indonesia. Employing panel data regression and simulation modeling, the research explores the dynamic relationship between excise rates and reven using secondary data sources. The findings indicate a significant positive impact of excise rate increases on revenues up to a threshold, beyond which revenues begin to decline due to diminishing legal consumption. This study contributes a novel methodological framework to determine excise rate optimization and addresses a critical policy gap in the context of Indonesia’s unique socio-economic landscape. By integrating fiscal and social considerations, the research provides actionable insights for sustainable revenue generation and policy design.

Keywords: Government revenue; Optimization; Cigarette; Indonesia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1057/s41272-025-00520-1

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