Recent Developments in Density Forecasting
Stephen Hall and
James Mitchell
Chapter 5 in Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics, 2009, pp 199-239 from Palgrave Macmillan
Abstract:
Abstract With the growing recognition that point forecasts, the traditional focus, are better seen as the central points of ranges of uncertainty, in recent years increased emphasis has been given to density forecasts. This chapter reviews these recent developments, with a focus on the production and use of density forecasts in macroeconomics. Particular attention is paid to the evaluation and combination of density forecasts.
Keywords: Root Mean Square Error; Stochastic Volatility; Bayesian Model Average; Bayesian Model Average; Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:pal:palchp:978-0-230-24440-5_5
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DOI: 10.1057/9780230244405_5
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