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Macroeconomics Framework Considered Risk Factors: Based on Default Distance

Yonggang Ye (), Jiaqi Yang (), Lingfeng Song () and Pei ZHang ()
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Yonggang Ye: School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, China.
Jiaqi Yang: School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, China
Lingfeng Song: School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, China
Pei ZHang: School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, China

Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2013, issue 4, 124-133

Abstract: This paper adopts the macro-financial engineering method, taking risk factors into account to build a new framework for macroeconomic research in the IS-LM-BP model. Based on the balance of commodity markets, currency markets and the international balance of payments, the framework studies the balance of the level of risk, and analyzes a series of changes of the BP curve under given risk factors. Meanwhile, this paper also conducts empirical study using Chinese data from years 2007-2010.

Keywords: macro-financial engineering; IS-LM-BP; risk; debt crisis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E17 E19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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