Life after exile: Introducing a new dataset on post-exile fate

Kaoru Hidaka, Masanori Kubota and Taku Yukawa
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Kaoru Hidaka: Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, 13121University of Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
Masanori Kubota: 164363Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University, 1-31 Machikaneyama, Toyonaka, Osaka, Japan
Taku Yukawa: Graduate School of Arts and Science, 13143The University of Tokyo, 3-8-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, Japan

Conflict Management and Peace Science, 2025, vol. 42, issue 6, 726-741

Abstract: Recent research in international relations and comparative politics has highlighted the post-tenure fate of leaders, particularly exile. Scholars view exile either as a punishment or a “golden parachute†offering a safe exit with potential future power. To assess which perspective aligns with reality, we developed a dataset tracking exiled leaders’ fates across three periods: during exile, upon returning home, and beyond. Our findings reveal significant variations, but the majority of exiled leaders eventually return home and resume power. This suggests a need to reconsider research that groups exile with punishments like imprisonment or execution.

Keywords: Exile; leader; post-tenure fate; political upheaval (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:compsc:v:42:y:2025:i:6:p:726-741

DOI: 10.1177/07388942241292553

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