Power Parity and Lethal International Violence, 1969–1973

David Garnham
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David Garnham: Department of Political Science University of Wisconsin—Milwaukee

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 1976, vol. 20, issue 3, 379-394

Abstract: Among students of international politics, there is little consensus concerning the nature of the relationship between dyadic power distributions and the likelihood of interstate violence: there may be no relationship, a positive relationship, or a negative relationship. This study hypothesized that lethal international violence between pairs of contiguous nation-states was more probable if the two states were equally powerful. Using the technique of pattern recognition, the hypothesis was tested—and substantiated—for the period 1969–1973. Furthermore, a discriminant function based on four indicators of national power (area, GNP, military manpower, and defense expenditures) appears to be a potentially useful predictor of lethal interstate violence.

Date: 1976
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:20:y:1976:i:3:p:379-394

DOI: 10.1177/002200277602000301

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