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Dynamic Foreign Policy Behavior

Matthew J. Lebo and Will H. Moore
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Matthew J. Lebo: Department of Political Science State University of New York, Stony Brook
Will H. Moore: Department of Political Science Florida State University

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2003, vol. 47, issue 1, 13-32

Abstract: How best to classify event counts of directed dyadic foreign policy behavior and how best to model them are points of disagreement among researchers. Should such series be modeled as unit roots ("perfect" memory) or as stationary ("short" memory)? It is demonstrated that the dichotomous choice between unit root (I(1)) and level stationarity (I(0)) is overly restrictive. The intermediate (and more general) possibility of fractional integration (0

Keywords: fractional integration; error correction mechanisms; foreign policy; action-reaction; ARFIMA (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:47:y:2003:i:1:p:13-32

DOI: 10.1177/0022002702239509

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