Mediating International Crises

Jonathan Wilkenfeld, Kathleen Young, Victor Asal and David Quinn
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Jonathan Wilkenfeld: Department of Government and Politics University of Maryland
Kathleen Young: Department of Government and Politics University of Maryland
Victor Asal: Department of Government and Politics University of Maryland
David Quinn: Department of Government and Politics University of Maryland

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2003, vol. 47, issue 3, 279-301

Abstract: This study focuses on mediation as a means for mitigating or at least minimizing the potentially turbulent and violent consequences of international crises. Two main research questions are explored: (1) Does mediation in general affect the dynamics and outcomes of crisis negotiations? and (2) Does the impact of mediation vary in accordance with mediator style? Data are drawn from the International Crisis Behavior data set and from ongoing experimental work with human subjects. The historical data reveal that mediated crises are more typically characterized by compromise among crisis actors, are more likely to end in agreements, and show a tendency toward long-term tension reduction. The experimental research confirmed the relationship between mediation and the achievement of agreement and also revealed that mediation leads to crises of shorter duration and to greater satisfaction by the parties with the outcome. A manipulative mediation style is more likely to yield favorable crisis management outcomes than is a more restrictive facilitative style.

Keywords: international crisis; crisis management; negotiation; mediation; experiments; simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2003
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:sae:jocore:v:47:y:2003:i:3:p:279-301

DOI: 10.1177/0022002703252365

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